October 10–15, 2026 · National sample

National Survey — October 2026

National survey of people aged 16 and over on the 2027 runoff scenarios. It measures Javier Milei against seven possible opponents, segments the electorate against Peronism and looks closely at non-polarized voters: who they are, how they see Milei and what they think he lacks.

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01Key findings

52%is what Cristina Fernández, Sergio Massa and Axel Kicillof get against Milei among those who choose a candidate; Milei, 48%.

37%are not polarized in at least one of the three runoffs against Peronism.

31%choose Milei in all three runoffs; 28% always choose the Peronist.

34%of non-polarized voters ask Milei for a different personal style; 22% raise economic concerns.

02Reading

Milei gets between 31% and 36% against any rival: what changes is the opponent. Against Peronism, between 26% and 28% choose neither, and the election hinges on how non-polarized voters split.

Non-polarized voters are younger and of lower socioeconomic level than the total. What they think Milei lacks falls into two blocks: his personal style —empathy, honesty, composure— and the economy —jobs, wages and making ends meet.

03Methodology

Universe: People aged 16+ in Argentina
Fieldwork: October 10–15, 2026
Methodology: Online survey with an open question analyzed with AI

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